George Friedman citáty

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George Friedman

Datum narození:1949
Další jména:Ջորջ Ֆրիդման

George Friedman je americký zpravodajský expert a odborník na národní bezpečnost. Je zakladatelem a šéfem přední americké soukromé konzultační zpravodajské agentury Stratfor , kterou založil v roce 1996. Vydal sám nebo se spoluautory několik knih, které se staly bestsellery.

Citáty George Friedman









George Friedman foto
George Friedman89
American businessman and political scientist 1949
„A century is about events. A decade is about people.“ The Next Decade: What the World Will Look Like



George Friedman foto
George Friedman89
American businessman and political scientist 1949
„... common sense is the one thing that will certainly be wrong.“ The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century


George Friedman foto
George Friedman89
American businessman and political scientist 1949





George Friedman foto
George Friedman89
American businessman and political scientist 1949
„Psychologically, the United States is a bizarre mixture of overconfidence and insecurity. Interestingly, this is the precise description of the adolescent mind, and that is exactly the American condition in the twenty-first century. The world’s leading power is having an extended adolescent identity crisis, complete with incredible new strength and irrational mood swings. Historically, the United States is an extraordinarily young and therefore immature society. So at this time we should expect nothing less from America than bravado and despair. How else should an adolescent feel about itself and its place in the world? But if we think of the United States as an adolescent, early in its overall history, then we also know that, regardless of its self-image, adulthood lies ahead. Adults tend to be more stable and more powerful than adolescents. Therefore, it is logical to conclude that America is in the earliest phase of its power. It is not fully civilized. America, like Europe in the sixteenth century, is still barbaric (a description, not a moral judgment). Its culture is unformed. Its will is powerful. Its emotions drive it in different and contradictory directions. Cultures live in one of three states. The first state is barbarism. Barbarians believe that the customs of their village are the laws of nature and that anyone who doesn’t live the way they live is beneath contempt and requiring redemption or destruction. The third state is decadence. Decadents cynically believe that nothing is better than anything else. If they hold anyone in contempt, it is those who believe in anything. Nothing is worth fighting for. Civilization is the second and most rare state. Civilized people are able to balance two contradictory thoughts in their minds. They believe that there are truths and that their cultures approximate those truths. At the same time, they hold open in their mind the possibility that they are in error. The combination of belief and skepticism is inherently unstable. Cultures pass through barbarism to civilization and then to decadence, as skepticism undermines self-certainty Civilized people fight selectively but effectively. Obviously all cultures contain people who are barbaric, civilized, or decadent, but each culture is dominated at different times by one principle.“ The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century


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