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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Datum narození: 1960

Nassim Nicholas Taleb je libanonsko-americký esejista, odborník v oboru pravděpodobnosti a finanční matematiky.

„Nikdy nevěřte nikomu, kdo nosí kravatu.“

„Řek mezi Římany.— o Benoîtovi Mandelbrotovi“

„My major hobby is teasing people who take themselves and the quality of their knowledge too seriously and those who don’t have the guts to sometimes say: 'I don’t know.... “

„The three most harmful addictions are heroin, carbohydrates, and a monthly salary.“

„The writer Umberto Eco belongs to that small class of scholars who are encyclopedic, insightful, and nondull. He is the owner of a large personal library (containing thirty thousand books), and separates visitors into two categories: those who react with “Wow! Signore, professore dottore Eco, what a library you have! How many of these books have you read?” and the others - a very small minority - who get the point that a private library is not an ego-boosting appendage but a research tool. Read books are far less valuable than unread ones. The library should contain as much of what you don’t know as your financial means, mortgage rates and the currently tight real-estate market allows you to put there. You will accumulate more knowledge and more books as you grow older, and the growing number of unread books on the shelves will look at you menancingly. Indeed, the more you know, the larger the rows of unread books. Let us call this collection of unread books an antilibrary.“ The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

„Love without sacrifice is like theft“ The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

„Charm is the ability to insult people without offending them; nerdiness the reverse“

„It has been more profitable for us to bind together in the wrong direction than to be alone in the right one. Those who have followed the assertive idiot rather than the introspective wise person have passed us some of their genes. This is apparent from a social pathology: psychopaths rally followers.“ The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

„Half of the people lie with their lips; the other half with their tears“ The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

„Missing a train is only painful if you run after it! Likewise, not matching the idea of success others expect from you is only painful if that’s what you are seeking.“ The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

„A Stoic is someone who transforms fear into prudence, pain into transformation, mistakes into initiation, and desire into undertaking.“

„When you develop your opinions on the basis of weak evidence, you will have difficulty interpreting subsequent information that contradicts these opinions, even if this new information is obviously more accurate.“ The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

„Some can be more intelligent than others in a structured environment—in fact school has a selection bias as it favors those quicker in such an environment, and like anything competitive, at the expense of performance outside it. Although I was not yet familiar with gyms, my idea of knowledge was as follows. People who build their strength using these modern expensive gym machines can lift extremely large weights, show great numbers and develop impressive-looking muscles, but fail to lift a stone; they get completely hammered in a street fight by someone trained in more disorderly settings. Their strength is extremely domain-specific and their domain doesn't exist outside of ludic—extremely organized—constructs. In fact their strength, as with over-specialized athletes, is the result of a deformity. I thought it was the same with people who were selected for trying to get high grades in a small number of subjects rather than follow their curiosity: try taking them slightly away from what they studied and watch their decomposition, loss of confidence, and denial. (Just like corporate executives are selected for their ability to put up with the boredom of meetings, many of these people were selected for their ability to concentrate on boring material.) I've debated many economists who claim to specialize in risk and probability: when one takes them slightly outside their narrow focus, but within the discipline of probability, they fall apart, with the disconsolate face of a gym rat in front of a gangster hit man.“ Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder

„The psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer has a simple heuristic. Never ask the doctor what you should do. Ask him what he would do if he were in your place. You would be surprised at the difference“ Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder

„Heroes are heroes because they are heroic in behavior, not because they won or lost.“ Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets

„Things always become obvious after the fact“

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